SMRTILYTICS is a bit of a hobby of mine.  For a full explanation of this project, check out the main SMRTILYTICS page.  -OG

Week 29

Twenty-nine weeks into the season and I’m forced to ask the question:

Are statistics true predictors of league position?

In terms of points earned, the answer is a resounding “YES!”

But what about the goals conceded and total shot ratio numbers I’ve been carefully collecting to date? This, after all, is an experiment; a hypothesis based on using just two statistics to make overarching statements on league position.

To be honest, there are still 9 weeks of data to be played – and 10 weeks in some cases (Newcastle, Everton, Manchester City and Liverpool) so formulating broad conclusions are premature.… More SMRTETA

SMRTILYTICS is a bit of a hobby of mine.  For a full explanation of this project, check out the main SMRTILYTICS page.  -OG

Week 26

Squeaky bum time?  Are we there yet?  Darn – I should have saved that for a later week.  Oh well, it’s out there now…

This week I’m taking a look at the Top Four a little more closely along with the usual predictions and the big chart! Yeah – the big chart!

Leicester:
53 Points (1st)
29 Goals Conceded (7th)
0.56 TSR on Target (6th)
0.49 Combined Metric (6th)

Current league leaders and Cinderella story, Leicester, suffered only their third loss of the season in Week 26.… More SMRTETA

SMRTILYTICS is a bit of a hobby of mine.  For a full explanation of this project, check out the main SMRTILYTICS page.  -OG

Week 22

It is 2016 and Arsenal are still (at time of writing), top of the League.

There are twists and turns left in this League yet, and it has been a fascinating study so far. With 22 of 38 played, we’d be somewhere around the 52nd minute of a 90 minute game and few but the brave would bet on a winner given only a little over half the season has been played. Still, we know a lot more than we knew back in August.… More SMRTETA

SMRTILYTICS is a bit of a hobby of mine.  For a full explanation of this project, check out the main SMRTILYTICS page.  -OG

Week 19

Halfway through the season and what a season it has been.  From Chelsea’s collapse to the rise of teams like Leicester, Stoke and Crystal Palace – nobody could have predicted the way this season has panned out so far.

From a statistical perspective, I’ve begun to investigate how I can combine Goals Conceded with Total Shot Ratio (on Target) to come up with a single combined metric.  If you’re a statistician, look away now.… More SMRTETA

SMRTILYTICS is a bit of a hobby of mine.  For a full explanation of this project, check out the main SMRTILYTICS page.  -OG

Week 16

What a difference a week can make!

Last week I told you that Liverpool hadn’t really imposed themselves on my stats under Klopp yet, and this week – despite that celebration worthy triumph (2-2 draw with West Brom) at Anfield – they find themselves in the Top 3 for three of the statistics we track.  That’s progress folks and it really should speak to how one-sided the numbers were in favour of Liverpool at the weekend (they outshot WBA 28 to 4, had 70 percent possession, and completed 524 passes to 163).  … More SMRTETA